03 February, 2026 (16:00:00 AEST)

BHP (BHP: $A50.13) adds $A4 billion (1.4%) in MCap, top heavyweight rise in All Ordinaries Index; +71c [+1.4%]


www.buysellsignals.com

BHP Group Limited's (ASX: BHP $A50.13) stock price lifted 71.0c (1.4%) from its previous trading session to close at $A50.13.

Compared with the All Ordinaries Index which rose 80.5 points (0.9%) in the day, the relative price increase was 0.6%. It posted the highest rise in MCap $A3.6 billion with the most influence on the All Ordinaries Index. Its MCap is $A254.4 billion.

Today its volatility (highest price minus lowest price/lowest price) of 1.8% was 1.3 times its average daily volatility of 1.4%. Today the stock traded at its four-day high of $A50.59. The low for the day was $A49.70.

There were 9,630,000 shares worth $A482.8 million traded today; the volume was 1.1 times the average daily trading volume of 8.8 million shares.

Today's update from Commodities markets - Copper
Copper (NYMEX:HG;$5.87 per pound) down 7.6% in 2 days
Copper (NYMEX:HG), extended its slide Monday, shedding an additional 9.30c (or 1.6%) to close at $5.87 per pound.($12,941 per Ton).
PV$1000 [10 Years] = US$2,852
Present Value of US$1,000 invested in Copper 10 years ago is now worth US$2,852; this corresponds to a TRS or CAGR of 11.1% per annum [Total Annualized Return of Copper.]
52-Week Price Range: $4.07 per pound - $6.39 per pound
52-Week Price Range: $8,972 per Ton - $14,081 per Ton

BHP (BHP) Stock Dashboard [traded in Australian Dollars, AUD] End-of-Day Tue, Feb 03

http://www.bhpbilliton.com/
Last$A50.13
52-Week Price Range$A33.25 - $A52.09
Ave Daily Volume8,821,624 shares
Currency1.000 AUD = 0.696 USD
Today's Volume [VI]9,630,000 [1.1]
Market Cap$A254 billion [US$177 billion]
ExchangeAUSTRALIAN [ASX]
P/E19.6
EPS (FY2025)$A1.78
EPS Growth (FY2025 vs FY2024)14.1%
Shares Outstanding5,073,901,188
BHP in IndicesAll Ordinaries [of 387 stocks]
Dividend Yield % (TTM)1.57
DPS (past 12 months)$A1.9 or 188c
SectorMaterials [Rank by MCap 1 of 566 stocks]
PV$1000 (1 yr) and TRS$A1,330; 33%
US$1,490; 49%

VI* Volume Index = Number of shares traded today/Average number of shares traded per day.

A year ago the exchange rate was USD 1 = 1.61 AUD. USD1000 would have bought $A1,610. A year ago the BHP share price was $A38.46. $A1,610 would have bought 41.9 BHP shares on that day. Those 41.9 shares would be worth $A2,099 at today's share price of $A50.13. At today's exchange rate of USD1=1.44 AUD this is equivalent to USD1,460. Dividends reinvested are worth $A26 ($30). PV$1000= $1,490.

Past quarter momentum up: BHP soars 16% on average volume 0.9 times average.

Past month to HighLowVWAPVolume Index *
03 Feb 202652.0945.9148.881.1
02 Jan 202646.0341.8144.670.9
03 Dec 202543.6540.1841.920.9

[*Volume Index of 1.1 means volume for the month was 1.1 times its 12-month average]
[VWAP is defined as the Volume Weighted Average Price; High Low prices and VWAP are shown in AUD]

APPENDIX I DATA & ARCHIVE DOWNLOAD CENTER

BHP: EXPORT DATA TO EXCEL:

+ PRICE VOLUME - 5-YEAR HISTORY
+ FINANCIALS - 10-YEAR HISTORY [INCLUDING FY 2025]:
+ PEER COMPARISON

BHP: OTHER INFORMATION:

+ STOCK BUZZ
+ PRICE VOLUME CHARTS
+ USD vs AUD EXCHANGE RATE CHARTS IN HTML
+ COPPER COMMODITY PRICE CHARTS IN HTML
+ COPPER COMMODITY BUZZ IN HTML
+ BOARD OF DIRECTORS

INDEX

SECTION 1 MOVING ANNUAL RETURN % STOCK VS INDEX
SECTION 2 CORPORATE PROFILE
SECTION 3 RECENT NEWS AND RESEARCH
SECTION 4 THE PAST YEAR: PRESS RELEASES
SECTION 5 COMMODITY BUZZ - COPPER
SECTION 6 TODAY'S BULLISH SIGNALS
SECTION 7 ONGOING BULLISH PARAMETERS
SECTION 8 TODAY'S BEARISH SIGNALS
SECTION 9 ONGOING BEARISH PARAMETERS
Read more...
ANNEXURE

APPENDIX II STOCK IDENTIFIERS

SECTION 1 MOVING ANNUAL RETURN % STOCK VS INDEX
Feb 03Last price in AUDAnnual Return of stock, %Return of All Ordinaries Index, %Net return Stock minus Index, %
202650.1332.44.228.2
202538.46-13.111.9-25
202444.2433-
202342.9519.21.617.6
202236.0410.66.44.1

Annual return of the stock overperformed return of the Index in each of the past 3 years.

SECTION 2 CORPORATE PROFILE

2.1 Activities
BHP Group Limited is a leading global resources company headquartered in Australia, specializing in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of minerals, metals, and petroleum. Its core business activities encompass the extraction and processing of key commodities, including iron ore, copper, coal, nickel, and potash, with operations spanning multiple continents to meet global demand in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure. Among its segments, copper has been the fastest-growing, fueled by rising demand from renewable energy technologies and electric vehicles, positioning BHP as a key player in the transition to a low-carbon economy. The company emphasizes operational excellence, innovation, and sustainable practices to optimize resource efficiency and deliver long-term value to shareholders and communities. It is Australia's largest Materials company by market capitalisation.

SECTION 3 RECENT NEWS AND RESEARCH
Stock Buzz

Other Publishers Buzz in the past week
Feb/JanHeadlinePublisher
Mon 02 Litchfield Minerals selected for elite BHP Xplor accelerator programThe Australian
Tue 27 Soaring gold and copper prices fuel ASX surge crowning BHP top companynews.com.au
Tue 27 BHP has returned to the top of the ASX. 4 charts say it doesn t matterAustralian Financial Review
Tue 27 BHP Overtakes CBA as ASX s Largest CompanyShareCafe
Tue 27 BHP takes back crown from CBA as most valuable company on the ASXThe West Australian

SECTION 4 THE PAST YEAR: PRESS RELEASES
4.1 The Past Year: Press Releases
http://www.buysellsignals.com/bst/01599102101030226322

SECTION 5 COMMODITY BUZZ - COPPER
5.1 COMMODITY BUZZ - COPPER
http://www.buysellsignals.com/bst/01699102101030226322

SECTION 6 TODAY'S BULLISH SIGNALS
6.1 Relative Value Indicators: Undervaluation compared with sector averages
Price/Earnings of 19.6 < Materials sector (of 527 stocks) avg of 33.2:
- The price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 indicates undervaluation compared with sector average of 33.2 and market average of 26.7.
Price/Earnings/Growth of 1.39 < Materials sector (of 527 stocks) avg of 4.2:
- Price/Earnings/Growth of 1.39 (based on the year-on-year growth in trailing 12 months EPS of 14.1%) versus sector average of 4.2 and market average of 3.1.
6.2 Relative Value Indicators: Undervaluation compared with Index averages and bond yield

- Earnings yield of 5.1% is more attractive compared with the Australian average earning yield of 3.7%.
- The earnings yield of 5.1% is 1.1 times the 10-year bond yield of 4.8%.
(All figures in %)
Earnings Yield5.1
Australian avg3.7
Dividend Yield1.6
Bond Yield4.8

SectorP/E
Fortune 500Stock: 19.6; Sector: 23.4undervalued
Top40 MinersStock: 19.6; Sector: 24.1undervalued

6.3 PAST WEEK: MODERATE MOMENTUM UP
BHP strengthens 0.8% on robust volume 1.5 times average. Compared with the All Ordinaries Index which fell 119.2 points (or 1.3%) in the week, the relative price increase was 2.0%.

BHP (BHP) outperformed the All Ordinaries Index in 3 out of 5 days. The price ranged between a low of $A49.42 on Monday Feb 02 and a high of $A51.51 on Thursday Jan 29.
DateBHPClose [AUD]Change %Comment
Tue Feb 03Adds $A4 billion (1.4%) in MCap, top heavyweight rise in All Ordinaries Index50.131.4Price/MAP50 above 1 and rising
Mon Feb 02Down 4.1% in 2 days49.42-2.3Steepest Fall; VI*=1.4
Fri Jan 30Loses $A5 billion (1.8%) in MCap, steepest heavyweight fall in All Ordinaries Index50.57-1.8VI*=2
Thu Jan 29Hits year-high 14th time in three months51.511.8Top Rise; VI*=1.7; RPC=1.9%
Wed Jan 28Hits year-high 13th time in three months50.61.7VI*=1.2; RPC=1.9%
* RPC - Relative Price Change is % price change of stock less % change of the All Ordinaries Index.
[Volume Index (VI); 1 is average]

6.4 Rank in the top 25% by Price Performance in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
Price/MAP501.09In Top 23%
1-month Price Change %10.2In Top 25%

6.5 Uptrend

Today's Volatility:
The 4% discount to 12-month high of $A52.09 against the 51% premium to 12-month low of $A33.25 suggests the stock continues to push for new highs.
Beta > 1 combined with price rise. The Beta of the stock is 1.1.

Price/Moving Average Price of 1.2 and positive MACD:
- The Price/MAP 200 for BHP is 1.2. Being higher than 1 is a bullish indicator. It is higher than the Price/MAP 200 for the All Ordinaries Index of 1.02, a second bullish indicator. The stock is trading above both its MAPs and the 50-day MAP of $A45.81 is higher than the 200-day MAP of $A41.66, a third bullish indicator. The 200-day MAP has increased to $A41.66, a fourth bullish indicator.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator of 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 49.42 minus the 26-day EMA of 48.17 is positive, suggesting a bullish signal. Both the 12-day EMA as well as the 26-day EMA are rising, another bullish signal.
- The price to 50-day EMAP ratio is 1.1, a bullish indicator. In the past 50 days this ratio has exceeded 1.1, six times suggesting further upside. The 50-day EMAP has increased to $A46.62. An increase is another bullish indicator.

Past Month:
- Rises to Falls: In the past month the number of rises outnumbered falls 13:8 or 1.6:1.

Past Quarter:

In the last three months the stock has hit a new 52-week high fourteen times, pointing to a significant uptrend. The Best 3 weeks in the past quarter
The past month witnessed the best 2 weeks in the past quarter. In the past quarter the week beginning Monday December 01 saw the highest weekly rise of 7.6% for a relative price increase of 7.5%.
Mon-FriChange %All Ordinaries Index Change %Vol Ind [1 is avg]
Dec 01-057.60.11
Jan 26-304.4-0.31.5
Jan 05-094.30.10.9

6.6 Other Bullish Signals
- Return on Equity of 21.3% versus sector average of 8.3% and market average of 7.8%.
- Total Liabilities/EBITDA of 2.8 is less than 5, this compares favourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of 5.
- Return on Assets of 10.2% versus sector average of 4.5% and market average of 1.6%.
- Return on Capital Employed of 21.6% versus sector average of 11.9% and market average of 3.2%.
- Interest cover defined by EBIT/I is 11.4 times. This indicates it is less leveraged.
MCap/Total Assets:
- Tobin's Q Ratio, defined as MCap divided by Total Assets, is 1.6. Compared with the rest of the market the stock is undervalued.
- Over the last 3 years average annual compound growth rate of earnings per share was 10.8%. This is considered moderate.
- Net profit margin has averaged 21.9% in the last 3 years. This is considered superior and suggests a high margin of safety.
- As per the Du Pont analysis, Return on Equity is high at 21.3%. This is computed as net profit margin of 21.7% times asset turnover [sales/assets] of 0.47 times leverage factor [total assets/shareholders' equity] of 2.1.Also, this has improved from 19.5% last year.
ROE (%)Profit Margin (%)Asset TurnoverLeverage factor
Current Year21.321.70.472.1
Previous Year19.517.20.542.1

SECTION 7 ONGOING BULLISH PARAMETERS
7.1 EPS growth [FY2025 vs FY2024] of 14.1%:
FYEPS ($)Growth %
20251.7814.1
20241.56-38.9

7.2 Rank in the top 99% by Liquidity in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
Ave daily turnover$A350 millionIn top 99%

7.3 Rank in the top 1% by Size in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
Turnover$A482.8 millionIn Top 1%
MCap$177 billionIn Top 1%
Annual Revenue$51.3 billionIn Top 1%

7.4 Rank in the top 20% by Productivity in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
Return on Equity [ROE] %21.3In Top 12%
Return on Capital Employed [ROCE] %21.6In Top 12%
Return on Assets [ROA] %10.2In Top 20%

7.5 Present Value of AUD1000 Invested in the Past [3 Mo, 1 Yr, 3 Yrs]; The Best Periods with PVAUD1000 > 1,155
PVAUD1,0003 mo ago1 yr ago3 yrs ago
BHP.ASX$A1,156$A1,330$A1,336
Materials sector$A1,345$A1,490$A1,307
All Ordinaries Index$A1,003$A1,060$A1,177

7.6 The Best Periods [3 Mo, 1 Yr] with Price Change % > 15.5
1-Year price change of 30.3% for BHP outperformed the change of 4.1% in the All Ordinaries Index for a relative price change of 26.3%.
Price Change %QuarterYear
BHP15.630.3
Materials sector34.146.1
All Ordinaries Index0.94.1

7.7 MCap: 5-Year Increase of $A26 B (11%)
In the past 5 years Market Capitalization has increased by $A25.7 billion (11%) from $A228.7 billion to $A254.4 billion. Based on a dynamic start date of 5 years ago, there have been declines in MCap in 3 out of 5 years.
PriceMCap (AUD B)MCap ($ B)
Last$A50.13254.4177
1 Year ago$A38.46199.1123
2 Years ago$A44.24241.2158.4
3 Years ago$A42.95247.5174.9
4 Years ago$A36.04231.4164.5
5 Years ago$A32.60228.7175.1

7.8 Created Market Value [CMV] past 20 yrs of $A126 billion
- Market Capitalization has increased by $A167.1 billion from $A87.2 billion to $A254.4 billion in the last 20 years. This increase comprises cumulative retained earnings (RETE) of $A41.1 billion and Created Market Value of $A126 billion. The Created Market Value multiple, defined by the change in MCap for every AUD1 of retained earnings is exemplary at $A4.06.

7.9 Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The Best Periods with TSR > 9.9%
TSR %1 yr3 yrs5 yrs
BHP.ASX331017.5

7.10 P/E/G < 1
The price earnings ratio of 19.6 divided by trailing twelve months eps growth of 14.1% corresponds to an attractive P/E/G of 1.4 times; this is better than sector average of 3.1.
EPS Growth (%)14.12
P/E/G1.39
P/E19.62

7.11 Improved EBIT Margins:
EBIT margin is positive and has increased from 32.8% to 39.3% in the past year.
FYEBIT Margins (%)
202539.3
202432.8
202343.6
202252.5
202144.9

7.12 Safe Interest Cover and Improving
Interest cover of 11.4 is above a safe benchmark figure of 3. Moreover, it has improved from 8.3 a year ago.
YearsInterest cover
202511.36
20248.3
202311.39

7.13 Low Debt to Equity (%)
The debt to equity ratio of 47.3% is under a safe benchmark figure of 50%. However, it has deteriorated from 43.2% a year ago.
YearsDebt to Equity (%)
Jun 202547.32
Jun 202443.22
Jun 202346.87
Jun 202234.87
Jun 202137.97

7.14 Increased Volume, up 6% in 5 years
In the past five years, Average Daily Volume of Trading (ADVT) has increased 6.4% to 8.8 million shares.
Avg. Daily Volume Traded 12 months ended Feb 03, million shares
YearADVT
20268.8
20257.8
20247.6
202310.4
20228.3

7.15 Increased VWAP, up 20% in 5 years
In the past five years Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) has increased by 19.6% to $A40.91.
Past five years, 12 months ended Feb 03 (AUD)
YearHigh PriceVWAPLow Price
202652.0940.9133.25
202545.3140.836.48
202447.2541.4737.66
202344.3637.0229.59
202240.4634.1928.08

7.16 Increased share turnover, up 23% in 5 years
In the past five years, average daily share turnover has increased 23.4% to $A353.9 million. This suggests increased liquidity.
Past five years, 12 months ended Feb 03 (AUD million)
YearAverage Daily Turnover
2026353.9
2025323.3
2024316.6
2023388.4
2022286.8

7.17 Satisfies two criteria of Benjamin Graham
-""Total debt less than tangible book value""; total debt of USD24.7 billion is less than tangible book value of USD50.3 billion.
-""Stability of growth in earnings over the last 5 years, defined as no more than two declines of 5% or greater in year-end earnings""; there have been 2 declines in earnings in the last 5 years.

SECTION 8 TODAY'S BEARISH SIGNALS
8.1 Rank in the bottom 22% by Relative Valuation in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
Price/Earnings/Growth1.39In Bottom 22%
Dividend Yield %1.6%In Bottom 17%

SECTION 9 ONGOING BEARISH PARAMETERS
9.1 Rank in the bottom 24% by Growth in the Australian market
DescriptionValueRank
EPS Growth %14.1In Bottom 24%

9.2 BHP sees dividend fall for a third consecutive year
BHP reported dividends per share of 78.50c in the past year, down 64.2% from the previous year. This is